WOMENS FLYWEIGHT
Included with every membership
Find the model’s strongest winner pick.
Compare confirmed upcoming fights in the next 30 days by the model’s estimated win chance.
Active subscriptions, free trials and Founder members all have access.
Entire Fight Card13 Confirmed Bouts
Select any fight on the card to run predictions, compare records, and review style matchups.
3 rounds · WOMENS FLYWEIGHT
UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott · Oct 17, 2026
Jasmine Jasudavicius vs. Erin Blanchfield
WOMENS FLYWEIGHT
Run the fight model to see its winner, win chance, and method and round when the data supports them.
Full tale of the tape · stats, recent fights & career pay
The matchup, at a glance
Tale of the tape
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | Fighter comparison | Erin Blanchfield |
|---|---|---|
| 15-4-0 | Pro record | 14-2-0 |
| #7 | Ranking | #4 |
| No confirmed results available | Recent results | No confirmed results available |
| 37 | Age | 27 |
| 5′ 7″ · 170 cm | Height | 5′ 4″ · 163 cm |
| 68″ · 173 cm | Reach | 66″ · 168 cm |
| Not available | Stance | Not available |
| WOMENS FLYWEIGHT | Division | WOMENS FLYWEIGHT |
| Not posted | Weigh-in | Not posted |
| 125.50 lb | Listed weight | 125.80 lb |
| Canada | Country | USA |
| Not available | Fights out of | Not available |
| Niagara Top Team | Gym | Not available |
| Brawler | Fighting style | Jiu-Jitsu |
| St. Catharines, Canada | Birthplace | United States |
| 38″ · 97 cm | Leg reach | 36″ · 91 cm |
| Jan. 22, 2022 | UFC debut | Sep. 18, 2021 |
Jasmine Jasudavicius · UFC / API-Sports / Sportradar · Checked Oct 13, 2026Official profile
Erin Blanchfield · UFC / API-Sports / Sportradar · Checked Oct 13, 2026Official profile
Market snapshot
Moneyline odds
Bookmaker prices, separate from our model prediction. Check the timestamp.
+250
FanDuel
10/12/2026, 12:06:11 PM · Older than 24 hours
-340
+250
Bovada
10/12/2026, 12:06:11 PM · Older than 24 hours
-300
+225
BetMGM
10/12/2026, 12:06:11 PM · Older than 24 hours
-275
+250
DraftKings
10/12/2026, 12:06:11 PM · Older than 24 hours
-310
Striking & grappling
How they stack up
3.475.24
Strikes landed
/ min
3.464.25
Strikes absorbed
/ min · Lower is better
44%44%
Striking accuracy
Percent
52%59%
Striking defense
Percent
2.631.96
Takedowns landed
/ 15 min
75%78%
Takedown defense
Percent
0.540.86
Submission attempts
/ 15 min
40%50%
Wins by finish
Percent
How they win
Finishing styles
Share of recorded career wins by method.
Jasmine Jasudavicius
KO / TKO13%
Submission27%
Decision60%
Erin Blanchfield
KO / TKO14%
Submission36%
Decision50%
Jasmine Jasudavicius
Up to five latest confirmed fights in our records · newest first
No confirmed results available
Erin Blanchfield
Up to five latest confirmed fights in our records · newest first
No confirmed results available
Follow the money
Career purses & pay
Sourced fight-pay subtotals. Official, reported, and estimated amounts stay separate; private pay and undisclosed endorsements are not included.
Champion vs. Challenger Architecture
Model Engine Comparison
Compare our market-anchored neural network against the unanchored Zero-Odds Purist tape model.
Models in Full Agreement on Winner (Erin Blanchfield)
Both the market-anchored ensemble and pure tape model project Erin Blanchfield to win (63% vs 56%). Agreement reinforces confidence.
CHAMPION
Quantum Neural Network v2.1
Champion Model · Sharp Market Anchored
PASS
Projected Winner
Erin Blanchfield
Win Probability63%
Fair Line-171
Projected MethodDecision
Architecture Weights:
• 30% - 38% XGBoost / Glicko Latent Skill
• 30% - 38% Opponent-Adjusted Tactical Differentials
• 35% - 40% Sharp Closing Book Consensus
"Institutional Bayesian stacking anchored to sharp market efficiency to eliminate recency bias."
TAPE PURIST
Zero-Odds Purist (Stylistic / Tape)
Challenger Model · 0% Market Influence
PASS
Projected Winner
Erin Blanchfield
Win Probability56%
Intrinsic Fair Line-129
Stylistic MethodDecision
Architecture Weights:
• 55% XGBoost / Glicko Intrinsic Skill Profile
• 45% Striking Pace, TD Defense & Durability Decay
• 0% (Completely Independent of Public Betting Lines)
"Unfiltered stylistic & biometric tape evaluation completely independent of public betting volume or line movements."
PASS
Action Cautioned
Pass · Negative Expected Value
Market line is heavily inflated compared to model estimate (-9.0% negative edge).
Market Edge
-9.0%
Neural Net Pick (Market-Anchored)
Erin Blanchfield
Decision · Round 3
63%
Estimated win chance
Confidence: Pass
THE MATCHUP, AT A GLANCE
Inside the prediction
Model win chance
63.1%
Estimate for Erin Blanchfield
Model vs. market
-9.0 pts
Difference from consensus probability
Input coverage
63.0%
Coverage score—not historical accuracy
Paths to victory
Each percentage estimates that fighter winning by that method. The three paths on each side add up to that fighter’s win chance.
Jasmine Jasudavicius
36.9%KO / TKO4.9%
Submission9.8%
Decision22.1%
Erin Blanchfield
63.1%KO / TKO9.0%
Submission22.6%
Decision31.6%
Method and round projections are approximate. Estimated confidence has not yet been validated against a separate chronological test set.
Data sources & coverage
- Schedule
- API-Sports
- Fighter statistics
- UFC profiles / UFC profiles
- Market comparison
- Available
- SportsDataIO
- Evaluated when verified data is available
ratings missing
Why this fighter?
- •The style matchup leans toward Erin Blanchfield when the striking, grappling and defensive inputs are combined.
- •The combined estimate favors Erin Blanchfield after accounting for the available model and market inputs.
- •The model and the market disagree by about 9.0 points, which is worth watching.
What could change the outcome
The biggest risk is Jasmine Jasudavicius forcing the fight away from the matchup pattern the model expects.
Partial OEP-v2.0 input coverage; confidence reduced and data-quality flags attached.
PASS: probabilistic research output, not a guarantee, financial advice or a claim of certainty.
Odds & Prop Edge
Model fair line
-171
Market line
-259
Model vs. market
-9.0 pts
All Access includes Prop Edge and every current feature for $8.99/month.
Get All AccessSupporting model details
Fighter skill
FORGE
rating Gap0%
rating Deviation Avg350.00
latent Skill Uncertainty50%
momentum Edge0%
Style matchup
PULSE
striking Edge-98%
grappling Edge-56%
adjusted Striking Adv-1.09
adjusted Takedown Adv9%
Combined verdict
VERDICT
decision Probability A55%
close Fight Risk94%
split Decision Risk63%
Shadow only · not in final pick
ORACLE
posterior Std Dev29%
Engine percentages refer to Jasmine Jasudavicius. ORACLE is a shadow estimate and does not affect the pick. Model version: OEP-v2.1-Integrity · Agreement 90% · Uncertainty 23%